Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 74.8%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 7.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (14.61%) and 3-0 (11.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.87%), while for a Ionikos win it was 0-1 (3.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.