Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 43.13%. A draw had a probability of 28.8% and a win for Olympiacos had a probability of 28.08%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.19%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a Olympiacos win it was 0-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.

Result
Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	Olympiacos
43.13% ( -0.41)	28.79% ( 0.14)	28.08% ( 0.27)

Both teams to score 43.51% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.44% (

-0.34)

62.56% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.85% (

-0.25)

82.15% (

0.24)

Aris Thessaloniki Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.18% (

-0.39)

28.81% (

0.38)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.33% (

-0.48)

64.67% (

0.48)

Olympiacos Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.12% (

0.03)

38.87% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.39% (

0.03)

75.6% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

Aris Thessaloniki 43.12%

Olympiacos 28.08%

Draw 28.78%

Aris Thessaloniki	Draw	Olympiacos
1-0 @ 13.93% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.19% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 3.6% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.12% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.06% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.55% Total : 43.12%	1-1 @ 13.16% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.2% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 3.87% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.55% Total : 28.78%	0-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 6.22% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.53% Total : 28.08%