Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 46.2%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 27.16% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.98%) and 0-2 (8.75%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 (8.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
1.43) 
-1.75) 
