SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 46.21%. A win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 27.5% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (8.58%). The likeliest Panathinaikos win was 0-1 (8.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | Panathinaikos |
46.21% ( -0.47) | 26.29% ( 0.25) | 27.5% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 50.02% ( -0.58) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.92% ( -0.84) | 54.08% ( 0.84) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.49% ( -0.71) | 75.51% ( 0.71) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.63% ( -0.58) | 23.37% ( 0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.66% ( -0.84) | 57.34% ( 0.85) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.27% ( -0.27) | 34.72% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.55% ( -0.29) | 71.45% ( 0.28) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 1-0 @ 11.79% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.07% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 8.58% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.4% ( -0.11)3-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 2.33% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 1.51% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.79% Total : 46.21% | 1-1 @ 12.47% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.26)2-2 @ 4.8% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.28% | 0-1 @ 8.58% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 6.6% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.54% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 2.33% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.69% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.16% Total : 27.5% |
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