SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 40.56%. A win for The New Saints had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.31%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest The New Saints win was 2-1 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| The New Saints | Draw | Panathinaikos |
34.75% ( 0.02) | 24.69% | 40.56% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 58.59% ( 0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.53% ( 0) | 44.47% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.16% ( 0) | 66.84% ( -0) |
| The New Saints Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.03% ( 0.01) | 24.97% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.39% ( 0.02) | 59.61% ( -0.02) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.08% ( -0.01) | 21.92% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.81% ( -0.01) | 55.18% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| The New Saints | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 2-1 @ 8% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( 0)2-0 @ 5.27% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.7% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.81% ( 0)3-0 @ 2.44% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.28% ( 0)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0)Other @ 2.69% Total : 34.75% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.07% 0-0 @ 5.47% 3-3 @ 1.42% Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.69% | 1-2 @ 8.75% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0)0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0)1-3 @ 4.43% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.19% ( -0)2-3 @ 3.07% 1-4 @ 1.68% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.21% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0)Other @ 2.46% Total : 40.56% |
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