SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 56.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.4%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
56.03% ( -0.04) | 22.26% ( -0.01) | 21.71% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 56.77% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.72% ( 0.12) | 42.28% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.31% ( 0.12) | 64.68% ( -0.12) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.05% ( 0.03) | 14.94% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.65% ( 0.05) | 43.35% ( -0.05) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.74% ( 0.12) | 33.26% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.13% ( 0.13) | 69.87% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panathinaikos | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.45% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 6.26% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.69% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 2.98% ( 0)4-0 @ 2.7% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.64% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0)5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.84% Total : 56.03% | 1-1 @ 10.4% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.44% ( 0.02)0-0 @ 4.97% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.27% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.18% Total : 22.26% | 1-2 @ 5.73% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 5.47% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 3.01% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.11% ( 0)Other @ 2.3% Total : 21.71% |
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