SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 33.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.75%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 1-2 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.71%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Olympiacos | Draw | AEK Athens |
41.36% ( -1.08) | 24.94% ( 0.52) | 33.71% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 57.47% ( -1.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.18% ( -2.25) | 45.82% ( 2.25) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.87% ( -2.17) | 68.13% ( 2.18) |
| Olympiacos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.89% ( -1.46) | 22.11% ( 1.46) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.52% ( -2.26) | 55.48% ( 2.26) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.79% ( -0.74) | 26.22% ( 0.74) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.69% ( -1) | 61.31% ( 1.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Olympiacos | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 2-1 @ 8.84% ( -0.11) 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.45)2-0 @ 6.6% ( 0.06)3-1 @ 4.44% ( -0.26)3-0 @ 3.32% ( -0.12)3-2 @ 2.98% ( -0.24)4-1 @ 1.68% ( -0.18)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.11)4-2 @ 1.12% ( -0.15)Other @ 2.38% Total : 41.36% | 1-1 @ 11.71% ( 0.37) 2-2 @ 5.92% ( -0.21)0-0 @ 5.8% ( 0.54)3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.93% | 1-2 @ 7.84% ( 0.08) 0-1 @ 7.76% ( 0.57)0-2 @ 5.2% ( 0.28)1-3 @ 3.5% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.15)0-3 @ 2.32% ( 0.08)1-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.28% Total : 33.71% |
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