Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 79.4%. A draw had a probability of 13.7% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 6.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.52%) and 1-0 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.53%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (2.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.