SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Panathinaikos | 4 | 4 | 10 |
| 2 | Atromitos | 4 | 4 | 7 |
| 3 | Olympiacos | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | PAOK | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | AEK Athens | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 7 | Aris Thessaloniki | 3 | 1 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for AEK Athens had a probability of 31.34% and a draw had a probability of 28.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.93%) and 2-0 (7.75%). The likeliest AEK Athens win was 0-1 (11.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | AEK Athens |
39.78% ( 0.11) | 28.87% ( 0.14) | 31.34% ( -0.25) |
| Both teams to score 44.61% ( -0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.14% ( -0.52) | 61.86% ( 0.52) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.37% ( -0.39) | 81.63% ( 0.39) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.63% ( -0.19) | 30.36% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.44% ( -0.23) | 66.55% ( 0.23) |
| AEK Athens Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.07% ( -0.47) | 35.93% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.29% ( -0.48) | 72.71% ( 0.48) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panathinaikos | Draw | AEK Athens |
| 1-0 @ 13% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 7.93% ( -0.03)2-0 @ 7.75% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.15% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.08% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 0.94% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0)Other @ 1.4% Total : 39.78% | 1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 10.91% ( 0.21)2-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.07)Other @ 0.59% Total : 28.87% | 0-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.08)0-2 @ 5.72% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.06)0-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.04)Other @ 1.99% Total : 31.34% |
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