Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 67.58%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for PAS Giannina had a probability of 11.93%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.88%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.54%), while for a PAS Giannina win it was 0-1 (4.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AEK Athens would win this match.
