Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 14.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.49%) and 2-1 (8.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.9%), while for a Ionikos win it was 0-1 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Panathinaikos in this match.
0.08) 
-0.12) 
