Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AEK Athens win with a probability of 44.78%. A win for Olympiacos had a probability of 28.49% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an AEK Athens win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.89%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Olympiacos win was 0-1 (9.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.
