Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Asteras Tripolis win with a probability of 52.13%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Ionikos had a probability of 21.09%.
The most likely scoreline for an Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.92%) and 2-1 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Ionikos win it was 0-1 (8.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
