Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 69.78%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for PAS Giannina had a probability of 9.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (15.91%) and 3-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.13%), while for a PAS Giannina win it was 0-1 (4.81%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.