Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 56.55%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Panathinaikos had a probability of 18.34%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.8%) and 1-2 (9.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.61%), while for a Panathinaikos win it was 1-0 (7.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.
