Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 72.28%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Apollon Smirnis had a probability of 8.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 0-2 with a probability of 15.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (15.68%) and 0-3 (10.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.47%), while for an Apollon Smirnis win it was 1-0 (4.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.