Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 35.7%. A win for PAOK had a probability of 34.83% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.31%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest PAOK win was 0-1 (12.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.