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Europa Conference League | Last 16 | 1st Leg
Mar 10, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Toumbas
G

PAOK
1 - 0
Gent

Kurtic (58')
Lucescu (34'), Zivkovic (45'), Vieirinha (61'), Kurtic (79')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Okumu (2'), Torunarigha (83'), Castro-Montes (87')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PAOK 2-0 Panathinaikos
Tuesday, May 17 at 6pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Gent 1-2 Charleroi
Saturday, May 21 at 7.45pm in Belgian Pro League

We said: PAOK 1-1 Gent

PAOK will be keen to take an advantage from the first leg on home soil, though they will be aware of the threat Gent are likely to pose in the final third. A cagey contest is set to be played out in Greece and with little to separate these two teams, a score draw could be on the cards. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 49.13%. A win for Gent had a probability of 25.79% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.44%) and 2-0 (8.78%). The likeliest Gent win was 0-1 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for PAOK in this match.

Result
PAOKDrawGent
49.13%25.08%25.79%
Both teams to score 52.35%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.61%50.39%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.67%72.32%
PAOK Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.47%20.53%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.97%53.03%
Gent Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.87%34.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.18%70.82%
Score Analysis
    PAOK 49.13%
    Gent 25.79%
    Draw 25.07%
PAOKDrawGent
1-0 @ 11.09%
2-1 @ 9.44%
2-0 @ 8.78%
3-1 @ 4.98%
3-0 @ 4.64%
3-2 @ 2.68%
4-1 @ 1.97%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.65%
Total : 49.13%
1-1 @ 11.92%
0-0 @ 7.01%
2-2 @ 5.08%
3-3 @ 0.96%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.07%
0-1 @ 7.53%
1-2 @ 6.41%
0-2 @ 4.05%
1-3 @ 2.3%
2-3 @ 1.82%
0-3 @ 1.45%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 25.79%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Lamia 0-2 PAOK
Sunday, March 6 at 5pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: AEK Athens 1-1 PAOK
Wednesday, March 2 at 6.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: PAOK 1-1 Ionikos
Sunday, February 27 at 3.15pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: PAOK 2-1 Midtjylland (5-3 pen.)
Thursday, February 24 at 8pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Aris 0-0 PAOK
Sunday, February 20 at 5.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Midtjylland 1-0 PAOK
Thursday, February 17 at 5.45pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Gent 2-1 Zulte
Sunday, March 6 at 8pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Standard Liege 0-1 Gent
Sunday, February 27 at 5.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Gent 4-0 RFC Seraing
Wednesday, February 23 at 5.45pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Eupen 0-1 Gent
Saturday, February 12 at 3.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Brugge 1-2 Gent
Sunday, February 6 at 12.30pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Gent 0-1 Antwerp
Sunday, January 30 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League


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