Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panetolikos win with a probability of 37.27%. A win for Apollon Smirnis had a probability of 32.59% and a draw had a probability of 30.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panetolikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.36%) and 2-1 (7.3%). The likeliest Apollon Smirnis win was 0-1 (12.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Panetolikos in this match.
