SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panetolikos win with a probability of 44.27%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Panserraikos had a probability of 27.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panetolikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.73%) and 2-1 (8.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.99%), while for a Panserraikos win it was 0-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panetolikos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panetolikos | Draw | Panserraikos |
44.27% ( 0.11) | 27.95% ( -0.02) | 27.77% ( -0.09) |
| Both teams to score 45.52% ( 0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.04% ( 0.04) | 59.95% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.8% ( 0.03) | 80.2% ( -0.03) |
| Panetolikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.04% ( 0.07) | 26.96% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.7% ( 0.1) | 62.29% ( -0.1) |
| Panserraikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.32% ( -0.05) | 37.68% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.54% ( -0.05) | 74.46% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panetolikos | Draw | Panserraikos |
| 1-0 @ 13.31% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.02)2-1 @ 8.52% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 3.81% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.82% ( 0)4-0 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)4-1 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.89% Total : 44.27% | 1-1 @ 12.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.15% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.16% Other @ 0.64% Total : 27.94% | 0-1 @ 9.91% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.34% ( -0.01)0-2 @ 4.84% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0)Other @ 1.69% Total : 27.77% |
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