SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 67.85%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Panserraikos had a probability of 11.82%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.87%) and 1-2 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.48%), while for a Panserraikos win it was 1-0 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Panserraikos | Draw | Panathinaikos |
11.82% ( -0.85) | 20.33% ( -0.3) | 67.85% ( 1.15) |
| Both teams to score 41.8% ( -1.54) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.69% ( -0.69) | 51.31% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.86% ( -0.61) | 73.13% ( 0.6) |
| Panserraikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 48.7% ( -1.87) | 51.3% ( 1.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 14.45% ( -1.29) | 85.54% ( 1.29) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.83% ( 0.14) | 14.17% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.14% ( 0.26) | 41.86% ( -0.26) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panserraikos | Draw | Panathinaikos |
| 1-0 @ 4.85% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.25)2-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.18% Total : 11.82% | 1-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.21) 0-0 @ 7.27% ( 0.2)2-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.23)Other @ 0.49% Total : 20.33% | 0-1 @ 14.2% ( 0.45) 0-2 @ 13.87% ( 0.51)1-2 @ 9.26% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 9.04% ( 0.37)1-3 @ 6.03% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 4.42% ( 0.2)1-4 @ 2.95% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.14)0-5 @ 1.73% ( 0.09)1-5 @ 1.15% ( -0)2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.06)Other @ 2.2% Total : 67.84% |
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