Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 39.14%. A win for Chelsea had a probability of 36.71% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.44%) and 2-0 (5.75%). The likeliest Chelsea win was 1-2 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Chelsea would win this match.
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