SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Aris Thessaloniki had a probability of 29.19% and a draw had a probability of 29.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.35%) and 2-1 (8%). The likeliest Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 (11.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for PAOK in this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
41.68% ( -0.34) | 29.13% ( 0.1) | 29.19% ( 0.24) |
| Both teams to score 43.18% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.75% ( -0.23) | 63.25% ( 0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.35% ( -0.16) | 82.64% ( 0.16) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.04% ( -0.31) | 29.96% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.93% ( -0.37) | 66.07% ( 0.37) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 61.64% ( 0.07) | 38.36% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.89% ( 0.06) | 75.11% ( -0.06) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 13.85% 2-0 @ 8.35% ( -0.07)2-1 @ 8% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 3.35% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 3.21% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.4% Total : 41.68% | 1-1 @ 13.27% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 11.49% ( 0.1)2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.53% Total : 29.12% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 6.36% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 5.28% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.22% ( -0)Other @ 1.6% Total : 29.19% |
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