Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 43.67%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for PAOK had a probability of 28.05%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.66%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.07%), while for a PAOK win it was 0-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.