SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 41.93%. A draw had a probability of 29.4% and a win for PAS Giannina had a probability of 28.67%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.49%) and 1-2 (7.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.28%), while for a PAS Giannina win it was 1-0 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAS Giannina | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
28.67% ( -0.34) | 29.4% ( -0.11) | 41.93% ( 0.45) |
| Both teams to score 42.27% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.74% ( 0.23) | 64.26% ( -0.23) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.63% ( 0.17) | 83.37% ( -0.16) |
| PAS Giannina Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.66% ( -0.15) | 39.34% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.96% ( -0.14) | 76.04% ( 0.14) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.68% ( 0.38) | 30.32% ( -0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.5% ( 0.45) | 66.5% ( -0.45) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAS Giannina | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 11.12% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 6.19% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 5.19% ( -0.09)3-1 @ 1.93% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 1.15% Other @ 1.47% Total : 28.66% | 1-1 @ 13.28% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.11)2-2 @ 3.7% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.49% Total : 29.39% | 0-1 @ 14.23% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 8.49% ( 0.1)1-2 @ 7.92% ( 0.06)0-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.07)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.02)0-4 @ 1.01% ( 0.03)1-4 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.33% Total : 41.93% |
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