SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Panetolikos had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12%) and 2-1 (9.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.36%), while for a Panetolikos win it was 0-1 (6.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Aris Thessaloniki in this match.
| Result | ||
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Panetolikos |
58% ( -0.35) | 24.45% ( 0.29) | 17.55% ( 0.06) |
| Both teams to score 43.52% ( -0.67) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.47% ( -0.95) | 56.53% ( 0.95) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.48% ( -0.77) | 77.52% ( 0.78) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.62% ( -0.5) | 19.38% ( 0.5) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.81% ( -0.82) | 51.19% ( 0.82) |
| Panetolikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.98% ( -0.49) | 46.02% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.27% ( -0.39) | 81.73% ( 0.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | Panetolikos |
| 1-0 @ 14.63% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 12% ( 0.06)2-1 @ 9.32% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 6.57% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.1% ( -0.13)4-0 @ 2.69% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.09% ( -0.09)3-2 @ 1.98% ( -0.08)Other @ 3.62% Total : 57.99% | 1-1 @ 11.36% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.32)2-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.56% Total : 24.45% | 0-1 @ 6.92% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 4.41% ( -0.03)0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.03)Other @ 1.45% Total : 17.55% |
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