SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 76.1%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 8.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.54%) and 3-0 (10.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.44%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 0-1 (3.12%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | OFI Crete |
76.1% ( 0.72) | 15.68% ( -0.19) | 8.22% ( -0.53) |
| Both teams to score 43.11% ( -1.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 58.27% ( -1.01) | 41.73% ( 1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 35.87% ( -1.02) | 64.13% ( 1.02) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.76% ( -0.08) | 9.23% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 68.77% ( -0.18) | 31.23% ( 0.18) |
| OFI Crete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 47.5% ( -1.92) | 52.5% ( 1.91) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 13.67% ( -1.27) | 86.33% ( 1.27) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | OFI Crete |
| 2-0 @ 13.75% ( 0.52) 1-0 @ 11.54% ( 0.47)3-0 @ 10.92% ( 0.38)2-1 @ 8.86% ( -0.16)3-1 @ 7.04% ( -0.15)4-0 @ 6.51% ( 0.2)4-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 3.1% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.18)5-1 @ 2% ( -0.06)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.11)6-0 @ 1.23% ( 0.03)Other @ 3.32% Total : 76.08% | 1-1 @ 7.44% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.22)2-2 @ 2.86% ( -0.22)Other @ 0.54% Total : 15.68% | 0-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.17)0-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.07)Other @ 1.69% Total : 8.22% |
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