SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a OFI Crete win with a probability of 41.29%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a OFI Crete win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.26%) and 2-0 (7.95%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 (10.46%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| OFI Crete | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
41.29% ( 0.27) | 28.18% ( -0.01) | 30.53% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 46.23% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.28% ( -0.02) | 59.72% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.98% ( -0.02) | 80.02% ( 0.02) |
| OFI Crete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.55% ( 0.14) | 28.46% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.78% ( 0.18) | 64.22% ( -0.17) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.61% ( -0.2) | 35.39% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.85% ( -0.21) | 72.15% ( 0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| OFI Crete | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
| 1-0 @ 12.65% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 3.33% ( 0.04)3-2 @ 1.8% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.02)Other @ 1.69% Total : 41.28% | 1-1 @ 13.14% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.68% Total : 28.17% | 0-1 @ 10.46% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 6.83% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 5.43% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 2.37% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.08% Total : 30.53% |
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