SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 31.09% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.53%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 1-0 (9.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | PAOK |
31.09% ( 0.3) | 27.27% ( -0.37) | 41.63% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 49.05% ( 1.19) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.74% ( 1.46) | 56.26% ( -1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.7% ( 1.16) | 77.3% ( -1.17) |
| Asteras Tripolis Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.85% ( 0.98) | 33.15% ( -0.98) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.25% ( 1.07) | 69.74% ( -1.07) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.36% ( 0.72) | 26.63% ( -0.72) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.13% ( 0.94) | 61.87% ( -0.94) |
| Score Analysis |
| Asteras Tripolis | Draw | PAOK |
| 1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.28) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( 0.13)2-0 @ 5.38% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 2.62% ( 0.12)3-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 1.73% ( 0.11)Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.09% | 1-1 @ 12.89% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 8.83% ( -0.51)2-2 @ 4.71% ( 0.18)Other @ 0.84% Total : 27.27% | 0-1 @ 11.67% ( -0.43) 1-2 @ 8.53% ( 0.1)0-2 @ 7.73% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.12)0-3 @ 3.41% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 2.08% ( 0.12)1-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.06)0-4 @ 1.13% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.62% |
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