SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAOK win with a probability of 79.47%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for HJK Helsinki had a probability of 7.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAOK win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.46%) and 2-1 (8.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.11%), while for a HJK Helsinki win it was 1-2 (2.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAOK would win this match.
| Result | ||
| PAOK | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
79.47% ( -0.01) | 13.08% ( 0.01) | 7.45% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 49.63% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 68.55% ( -0.07) | 31.45% ( 0.06) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 47.08% ( -0.08) | 52.92% ( 0.08) |
| PAOK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.8% ( -0.02) | 6.2% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.57% ( -0.04) | 23.43% ( 0.04) |
| HJK Helsinki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.91% ( -0.06) | 47.09% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.45% ( -0.04) | 82.55% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| PAOK | Draw | HJK Helsinki |
| 2-0 @ 11.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.46% ( 0.01)2-1 @ 8.5% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.11% ( 0.02)3-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 7.28% ( 0)4-1 @ 5.48% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 4.05% ( -0)5-1 @ 3.05% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.97% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.06% ( -0.01)6-0 @ 1.88% ( -0)6-1 @ 1.41% ( -0)5-2 @ 1.15% ( -0)Other @ 3.92% Total : 79.47% | 1-1 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.2% ( -0)0-0 @ 2.92% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.85% Total : 13.08% | 1-2 @ 2.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 2.2% ( 0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 7.45% |
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