SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Panathinaikos win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for OFI Crete had a probability of 18.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Panathinaikos win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.76%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a OFI Crete win it was 0-1 (5.94%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Panathinaikos would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Panathinaikos | Draw | OFI Crete |
58.74% ( -0.28) | 22.71% ( 0.1) | 18.54% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 50.17% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.44% ( -0.17) | 48.55% ( 0.17) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.32% ( -0.15) | 70.68% ( 0.15) |
| Panathinaikos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.8% ( -0.16) | 16.2% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 54.31% ( -0.28) | 45.69% ( 0.28) |
| OFI Crete Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.87% ( 0.1) | 40.13% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.23% ( 0.09) | 76.77% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Panathinaikos | Draw | OFI Crete |
| 1-0 @ 11.83% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.76% ( -0.04)2-1 @ 9.83% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 6.53% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 5.97% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.97% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.71% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.08% ( -0.02)5-1 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.09% Total : 58.73% | 1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.5% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.49% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.92% Total : 22.71% | 0-1 @ 5.94% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 4.93% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 2.71% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.1% Total : 18.54% |
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