Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PAS Giannina win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Asteras Tripolis had a probability of 30.19% and a draw had a probability of 28.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a PAS Giannina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.15%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Asteras Tripolis win was 0-1 (10.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that PAS Giannina would win this match.
Result | ||
PAS Giannina | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
41.26% ( 0.85) | 28.55% ( -0.72) | 30.19% ( -0.12) |
Both teams to score 45.1% ( 1.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
38.94% ( 2.32) | 61.06% ( -2.32) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
18.96% ( 1.7) | 81.04% ( -1.7) |
PAS Giannina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.88% ( 1.64) | 29.12% ( -1.64) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.95% ( 1.98) | 65.04% ( -1.98) |
Asteras Tripolis Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.63% ( 1.18) | 36.36% ( -1.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.85% ( 1.18) | 73.15% ( -1.17) |
Score Analysis |
PAS Giannina | Draw | Asteras Tripolis |
1-0 @ 13.06% ( -0.55) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 8.06% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.35% ( 0.26) 3-0 @ 3.32% ( 0.16) 3-2 @ 1.7% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0.12) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.09) Other @ 1.56% Total : 41.25% | 1-1 @ 13.21% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 10.58% ( -0.96) 2-2 @ 4.12% ( 0.27) Other @ 0.62% Total : 28.53% | 0-1 @ 10.71% ( -0.6) 1-2 @ 6.68% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.12) 1-3 @ 2.25% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.83% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.91% Total : 30.19% |
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