SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 43.63%. A win for Volos had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.75%) and 0-2 (8.15%). The likeliest Volos win was 1-0 (9.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Volos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
29.38% ( -0.15) | 26.99% ( -0.03) | 43.63% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 49.11% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.18% ( 0.07) | 55.82% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.06% ( 0.06) | 76.94% ( -0.06) |
| Volos Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.82% ( -0.08) | 34.18% ( 0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.12% ( -0.08) | 70.87% ( 0.08) |
| Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.61% ( 0.13) | 25.39% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.8% ( 0.17) | 60.19% ( -0.17) |
| Score Analysis |
| Volos | Draw | Aris Thessaloniki |
| 1-0 @ 9.32% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 6.86% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 5% ( -0.03)3-1 @ 2.45% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 1.79% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 2.28% Total : 29.38% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 8.68% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.7% ( 0)Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.99% | 0-1 @ 11.89% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.75% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 8.15% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 4% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.73% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.31% Total : 43.62% |
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