Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aris Thessaloniki win with a probability of 65.49%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for PAS Giannina had a probability of 12.94%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aris Thessaloniki win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.67%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.99%), while for a PAS Giannina win it was 0-1 (5.39%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aris Thessaloniki would win this match.
Result | ||
Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | PAS Giannina |
65.49% ( 0.06) | 21.56% ( -0.03) | 12.94% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 41.48% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.4% ( 0.07) | 53.6% ( -0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.9% ( 0.06) | 75.1% ( -0.06) |
Aris Thessaloniki Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.33% ( 0.04) | 15.67% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
55.28% ( 0.08) | 44.71% ( -0.08) |
PAS Giannina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
49.19% ( -0.01) | 50.81% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.79% ( -0) | 85.21% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Aris Thessaloniki | Draw | PAS Giannina |
1-0 @ 14.75% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 13.67% 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 3.91% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.65% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.94% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.7% Total : 65.48% | 1-1 @ 9.99% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.14% Other @ 0.47% Total : 21.56% | 0-1 @ 5.39% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 3.38% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.34% Total : 12.94% |
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