SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 68.65%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Fehervar had a probability of 12.25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.92%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.08%), while for a Fehervar win it was 0-1 (4.3%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Ferencvaros in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Fehervar |
68.65% ( 0.01) | 19.09% ( -0.04) | 12.25% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.84% ( 0.22) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.81% ( 0.24) | 45.19% ( -0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.47% ( 0.23) | 67.53% ( -0.23) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.92% ( 0.07) | 12.08% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.38% ( 0.15) | 37.61% ( -0.15) |
| Fehervar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 53.28% ( 0.21) | 46.72% ( -0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 17.72% ( 0.16) | 82.28% ( -0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Fehervar |
| 2-0 @ 12.6% ( -0.06) 1-0 @ 11.92% ( -0.1)2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 8.88% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 6.76% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 4.69% ( 0)4-1 @ 3.57% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.02)5-0 @ 1.98% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.51% ( 0.01)4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.19% Total : 68.64% | 1-1 @ 9.08% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 5.64% ( -0.06)2-2 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.72% Total : 19.09% | 0-1 @ 4.3% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 3.45% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 1.63% ( 0)2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.94% Total : 12.25% |
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