SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 70.5%. A draw had a probability of 17.5% and a win for Fehervar had a probability of 12.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.64%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.22%), while for a Fehervar win it was 0-1 (3.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Fehervar |
70.5% ( 0.23) | 17.47% ( -0.1) | 12.03% ( -0.14) |
| Both teams to score 51.81% ( -0.11) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.73% ( 0.08) | 38.26% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.45% ( 0.09) | 60.55% ( -0.09) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 90.31% ( 0.07) | 9.69% ( -0.08) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 67.69% ( 0.18) | 32.31% ( -0.18) |
| Fehervar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 57.37% ( -0.17) | 42.63% ( 0.17) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 21.02% ( -0.15) | 78.97% ( 0.14) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ferencvaros | Draw | Fehervar |
| 2-0 @ 11.25% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.64% ( -0.01)2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 8.75% ( 0.05)3-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.05)4-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.18% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 2.39% ( 0.03)5-1 @ 2.03% ( 0.02)4-2 @ 1.86% ( 0)6-0 @ 0.93% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.95% Total : 70.5% | 1-1 @ 8.22% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.13% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.12% Total : 17.47% | 0-1 @ 3.52% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 1.5% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 1% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.34% Total : 12.03% |
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