Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 61.41%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for FK Zalgiris had a probability of 17.24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.67%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a FK Zalgiris win it was 0-1 (5.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.01) 
