SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Zalaegerszegi TE had a probability of 18.83%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.01%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Zalaegerszegi TE win it was 1-0 (6.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-6 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ferencvaros would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Zalaegerszegi TE | Draw | Ferencvaros |
18.83% ( 0.36) | 23.53% ( 0.2) | 57.64% ( -0.56) |
| Both teams to score 48.21% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.57% ( -0.29) | 51.43% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.76% ( -0.25) | 73.24% ( 0.25) |
| Zalaegerszegi TE Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.52% ( 0.25) | 41.48% ( -0.25) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.02% ( 0.22) | 77.98% ( -0.22) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.39% ( -0.31) | 17.61% ( 0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.8% ( -0.54) | 48.2% ( 0.54) |
| Score Analysis |
| Zalaegerszegi TE | Draw | Ferencvaros |
| 1-0 @ 6.43% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 4.91% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 2.83% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 1.44% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.25% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.97% Total : 18.83% | 1-1 @ 11.16% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.31% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.8% Total : 23.53% | 0-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 11.01% ( -0.1)1-2 @ 9.69% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 6.38% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 5.61% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.08)2-3 @ 2.47% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 2.44% ( -0.05)2-4 @ 1.07% ( -0.02)0-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.55% Total : 57.63% |
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