SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Denmark | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Peru | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Australia | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Portugal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 3 | Russia | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | New Zealand | 3 | -7 | 0 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 53.67%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for New Zealand had a probability of 21.17%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.54%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.86%), while for a New Zealand win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Australia in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Australia.
| Result | ||
| Australia | Draw | New Zealand |
53.67% ( -0.38) | 25.16% ( 0.04) | 21.17% ( 0.33) |
| Both teams to score 47% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.13% ( 0.21) | 54.87% ( -0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.84% ( 0.17) | 76.16% ( -0.17) |
| Australia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.55% ( -0.07) | 20.44% ( 0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.1% ( -0.11) | 52.89% ( 0.1) |
| New Zealand Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.07% ( 0.47) | 40.92% ( -0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.51% ( 0.41) | 77.48% ( -0.42) |
| Score Analysis |
| Australia | Draw | New Zealand |
| 1-0 @ 13.28% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 10.54% ( -0.13)2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.58% ( -0.08)3-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 2.21% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.98% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.44% Total : 53.66% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 8.37% ( -0.07)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.73% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 7.47% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.08)0-2 @ 3.34% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.23% Total : 21.17% |
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