SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 2 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Saudi Arabia | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 3 | Russia | 2 | -1 | 3 |
| 4 | Egypt | 2 | -3 | 0 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Denmark | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Peru | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Australia | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 37.97%. A win for Saudi Arabia had a probability of 37.31% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.96%) and 0-2 (5.82%). The likeliest Saudi Arabia win was 2-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Saudi Arabia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Australia |
| 37.31% | 24.72% | 37.97% |
| Both teams to score 58.79% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.67% | 44.33% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.29% | 66.7% |
| Saudi Arabia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.5% | 23.49% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.47% | 57.52% |
| Australia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.85% | 23.15% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.97% | 57.02% |
| Score Analysis |
| Saudi Arabia | Draw | Australia |
| 2-1 @ 8.35% 1-0 @ 7.88% 2-0 @ 5.71% 3-1 @ 4.03% 3-2 @ 2.95% 3-0 @ 2.75% 4-1 @ 1.46% 4-2 @ 1.07% 4-0 @ 1% Other @ 2.12% Total : 37.31% | 1-1 @ 11.52% 2-2 @ 6.11% 0-0 @ 5.44% 3-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.71% | 1-2 @ 8.43% 0-1 @ 7.96% 0-2 @ 5.82% 1-3 @ 4.11% 2-3 @ 2.98% 0-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.5% 2-4 @ 1.09% 0-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.97% |
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