SM
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | France | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 2 | Denmark | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Peru | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Australia | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| Current Group C Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Uruguay | 3 | 5 | 7 |
| 2 | Chile | 3 | 4 | 6 |
| 3 | Japan | 3 | -4 | 2 |
| 4 | Ecuador | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Japan win with a probability of 44.43%. A win for Australia had a probability of 30.36% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Japan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.13%) and 0-2 (7.48%). The likeliest Australia win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Japan in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Japan.
| Result | ||
| Australia | Draw | Japan |
| 30.36% | 25.2% | 44.43% |
| Both teams to score 55.19% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.82% | 48.18% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.66% | 70.33% |
| Australia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.47% | 29.53% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.45% | 65.55% |
| Japan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.32% | 21.68% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.17% | 54.82% |
| Score Analysis |
| Australia | Draw | Japan |
| 1-0 @ 7.81% 2-1 @ 7.28% 2-0 @ 4.76% 3-1 @ 2.96% 3-2 @ 2.26% 3-0 @ 1.94% 4-1 @ 0.9% Other @ 2.44% Total : 30.36% | 1-1 @ 11.93% 0-0 @ 6.4% 2-2 @ 5.57% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.2% | 0-1 @ 9.79% 1-2 @ 9.13% 0-2 @ 7.48% 1-3 @ 4.65% 0-3 @ 3.81% 2-3 @ 2.84% 1-4 @ 1.78% 0-4 @ 1.46% 2-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.42% Total : 44.43% |
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