SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 51.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Maldives had a probability of 22.86%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.15%), while for a Maldives win it was 0-1 (7.94%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bangladesh would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bangladesh | Draw | Maldives |
51.38% ( -0.07) | 25.77% ( -0) | 22.86% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 47.36% ( 0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.53% ( 0.08) | 55.47% ( -0.08) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.35% ( 0.07) | 76.66% ( -0.06) |
| Bangladesh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( 0.01) | 21.64% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.24% ( 0.01) | 54.76% ( -0) |
| Maldives Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.43% ( 0.12) | 39.57% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.75% ( 0.11) | 76.26% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bangladesh | Draw | Maldives |
| 1-0 @ 13.1% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0)3-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.75% ( 0)3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 1.96% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.82% ( 0)Other @ 3.1% Total : 51.37% | 1-1 @ 12.15% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.56% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 4.31% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.74% Total : 25.77% | 0-1 @ 7.94% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.68% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.33% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.14% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.4% Total : 22.86% |
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