SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bhutan win with a probability of 40.49%. A win for Bangladesh had a probability of 35.89% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bhutan win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7%) and 2-0 (5.69%). The likeliest Bangladesh win was 1-2 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bhutan | Draw | Bangladesh |
40.49% ( 1.18) | 23.62% ( 0.16) | 35.89% ( -1.34) |
| Both teams to score 62.75% ( -0.76) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.87% ( -0.93) | 39.14% ( 0.93) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.54% ( -0.98) | 61.46% ( 0.98) |
| Bhutan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.34% ( 0.14) | 19.67% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.36% ( 0.23) | 51.65% ( -0.23) |
| Bangladesh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.12% ( -1.09) | 21.89% ( 1.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.86% ( -1.68) | 55.14% ( 1.69) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bhutan | Draw | Bangladesh |
| 2-1 @ 8.65% ( 0.17) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.33)2-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.29)3-1 @ 4.69% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 3.09% ( 0.17)4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.21% Total : 40.49% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 6.57% ( -0.09)0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.19)3-3 @ 1.8% ( -0.08)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.62% | 1-2 @ 8.08% ( -0.15) 0-1 @ 6.54% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.97% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 4.09% ( -0.21)2-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.16)0-3 @ 2.52% ( -0.14)1-4 @ 1.55% ( -0.14)2-4 @ 1.26% ( -0.1)0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.6% Total : 35.89% |
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