SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Qatar | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Tajikistan | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | China | 3 | -1 | 2 |
| 4 | Lebanon | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lebanon win with a probability of 55.64%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Bangladesh had a probability of 20.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lebanon win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.44%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Bangladesh win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lebanon would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Lebanon | Draw | Bangladesh |
55.64% ( 0) | 23.95% ( 0) | 20.41% ( -0) |
| Both teams to score 49.44% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.91% ( -0.01) | 51.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.06% ( -0.01) | 72.94% ( 0.01) |
| Lebanon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.78% ( -0) | 18.22% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.76% ( -0.01) | 49.24% ( 0.01) |
| Bangladesh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.45% ( -0.01) | 39.55% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.76% ( -0.01) | 76.23% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Lebanon | Draw | Bangladesh |
| 1-0 @ 12.26% 2-0 @ 10.44% 2-1 @ 9.69% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.93% ( 0)3-1 @ 5.5% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0)4-0 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 2.34% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 3.31% Total : 55.62% | 1-1 @ 11.38% 0-0 @ 7.21% ( 0)2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0)Other @ 0.87% Total : 23.95% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.28% ( -0)0-2 @ 3.1% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.63% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0)0-3 @ 0.96% Other @ 1.36% Total : 20.41% |
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