SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Australia win with a probability of 53.66%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Bangladesh had a probability of 21.04%.
The most likely scoreline for an Australia win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.63%) and 1-2 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Bangladesh win it was 1-0 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Australia would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bangladesh | Draw | Australia |
21.04% ( -0.89) | 25.3% ( 0.34) | 53.66% ( 0.56) |
| Both teams to score 46.46% ( -2.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.51% ( -2.16) | 55.49% ( 2.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.32% ( -1.8) | 76.68% ( 1.8) |
| Bangladesh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.59% ( -2.14) | 41.41% ( 2.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.08% ( -1.94) | 77.92% ( 1.94) |
| Australia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( -0.63) | 20.7% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.7% ( -1) | 53.3% ( 1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Bangladesh | Draw | Australia |
| 1-0 @ 7.56% ( 0.19) 2-1 @ 5.25% ( -0.28)2-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.11)3-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.17)3-0 @ 0.98% ( -0.09)Other @ 1.18% Total : 21.04% | 1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 8.57% ( 0.69)2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.31)Other @ 0.7% Total : 25.3% | 0-1 @ 13.5% ( 0.85) 0-2 @ 10.63% ( 0.47)1-2 @ 9.37% ( -0.13)0-3 @ 5.58% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.17)0-4 @ 2.2% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.17% ( -0.21)1-4 @ 1.94% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.34% Total : 53.65% |
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