SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bangladesh win with a probability of 38.82%. A win for Maldives had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bangladesh win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.25%) and 0-2 (7.02%). The likeliest Maldives win was 1-0 (10.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Maldives | Draw | Bangladesh |
33.92% ( -22.65) | 27.26% ( 2.39) | 38.82% ( 20.27) |
| Both teams to score 49.87% ( 5.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.42% ( 1.16) | 55.58% ( -1.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.25% ( 0.94) | 76.75% ( -0.94) |
| Maldives Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.14% ( -10.84) | 30.86% ( 10.84) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.86% ( -14.92) | 67.15% ( 14.92) |
| Bangladesh Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.13% ( 17.05) | 27.87% ( -17.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.53% ( 17.39) | 63.47% ( -17.39) |
| Score Analysis |
| Maldives | Draw | Bangladesh |
| 1-0 @ 10.11% ( -4.35) 2-1 @ 7.59% ( -1.72)2-0 @ 5.94% ( -5.69)3-1 @ 2.98% ( -2.02)3-0 @ 2.33% ( -3.91)3-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.1)Other @ 3.06% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 12.91% ( 1.34) 0-0 @ 8.6% ( -0.39)2-2 @ 4.85% ( 1.13)Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.25% | 0-1 @ 10.98% ( 3.78) 1-2 @ 8.25% ( 3.62)0-2 @ 7.02% ( 4.14)1-3 @ 3.52% ( 2.28)0-3 @ 2.99% ( 2.22)2-3 @ 2.07% ( 1.07)1-4 @ 1.12% ( 0.88)0-4 @ 0.96% ( 0.8)Other @ 1.91% Total : 38.81% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
