SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 44.13%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 0-1 (9.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | Uzbekistan |
44.13% ( -0.01) | 27.1% ( -0.13) | 28.77% ( 0.13) |
| Both teams to score 48.46% ( 0.45) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.52% ( 0.54) | 56.48% ( -0.54) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.52% ( 0.43) | 77.48% ( -0.43) |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.56% ( 0.24) | 25.44% ( -0.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.74% ( 0.33) | 60.26% ( -0.33) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65% ( 0.4) | 35% ( -0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.25% ( 0.41) | 71.75% ( -0.41) |
| Score Analysis |
| Costa Rica | Draw | Uzbekistan |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 8.76% ( 0.03)2-0 @ 8.34% ( -0.06)3-1 @ 4% ( 0.04)3-0 @ 3.81% 3-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.04)4-1 @ 1.37% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.27% Total : 44.12% | 1-1 @ 12.79% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.9% ( -0.19)2-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.07)Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.1% | 0-1 @ 9.35% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 4.91% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.35% ( 0.04)0-3 @ 1.72% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.04)Other @ 2.12% Total : 28.77% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
