SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Cameroon | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Burkina Faso | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Cape Verde | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Ethiopia | 3 | -4 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cameroon win with a probability of 49.99%. A win for Uzbekistan had a probability of 26.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cameroon win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Uzbekistan win was 1-2 (6.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Cameroon | Draw | Uzbekistan |
49.99% ( -0.06) | 23.73% ( 0.2) | 26.28% ( -0.13) |
| Both teams to score 57.17% ( -0.78) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.76% ( -0.97) | 44.25% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.38% ( -0.95) | 66.62% ( 0.96) |
| Cameroon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.22% ( -0.39) | 17.79% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.51% ( -0.68) | 48.5% ( 0.69) |
| Uzbekistan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.53% ( -0.61) | 30.47% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.32% ( -0.73) | 66.68% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Cameroon | Draw | Uzbekistan |
| 2-1 @ 9.6% 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.28)2-0 @ 8.08% ( 0.14)3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.07)3-0 @ 4.65% ( 0.02)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.1)4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.06)Other @ 3.68% Total : 49.99% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.1)0-0 @ 5.42% ( 0.23)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.73% | 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.16)0-2 @ 3.83% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.62% ( -0.06)2-3 @ 2.26% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 1.52% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.01% Total : 26.28% |
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