SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Costa Rica win with a probability of 42%. A win for USA had a probability of 31.95% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Costa Rica win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.3%). The likeliest USA win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Costa Rica would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | USA |
| 42% | 26.05% | 31.95% |
| Both teams to score 53.15% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.84% | 51.15% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27% | 73% |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.86% | 24.13% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.56% | 58.44% |
| USA Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.05% | 29.94% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.94% | 66.05% |
| Score Analysis |
| Costa Rica | Draw | USA |
| 1-0 @ 10.27% 2-1 @ 8.81% 2-0 @ 7.3% 3-1 @ 4.17% 3-0 @ 3.46% 3-2 @ 2.52% 4-1 @ 1.48% 4-0 @ 1.23% Other @ 2.75% Total : 41.99% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.23% 2-2 @ 5.31% 3-3 @ 1.01% Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 8.71% 1-2 @ 7.47% 0-2 @ 5.25% 1-3 @ 3% 2-3 @ 2.13% 0-3 @ 2.11% 1-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 2.36% Total : 31.95% |
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