SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Canada win with a probability of 40.17%. A win for Costa Rica had a probability of 33.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Canada win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.64%) and 0-2 (6.78%). The likeliest Costa Rica win was 1-0 (8.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Costa Rica | Draw | Canada |
| 33.99% | 25.84% | 40.17% |
| Both teams to score 54.46% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.26% | 49.74% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.25% | 71.74% |
| Costa Rica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.07% | 27.93% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.44% | 63.55% |
| Canada Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.57% | 24.43% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.13% | 58.86% |
| Score Analysis |
| Costa Rica | Draw | Canada |
| 1-0 @ 8.7% 2-1 @ 7.82% 2-0 @ 5.55% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 2.36% 3-2 @ 2.34% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.83% Total : 33.99% | 1-1 @ 12.26% 0-0 @ 6.82% 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.83% | 0-1 @ 9.62% 1-2 @ 8.64% 0-2 @ 6.78% 1-3 @ 4.06% 0-3 @ 3.18% 2-3 @ 2.59% 1-4 @ 1.43% 0-4 @ 1.12% 2-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.84% Total : 40.17% |
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